All predictions

Premier League · Saturday 12 September, 15:00

ChelseavHull City

Published before kickoff · model v2 · View the GitHub record

Full-time result

Home
77%
Draw
15%
Away
8%

Total goals

Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%

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Estimate updated Sunday 6 September · updated daily at 03:00 UK time

Match preview

AI-generated

Chelsea are strong favourites, with the model giving them a 77% chance of winning, compared with 15% for the draw and 8% for Hull City. Chelsea’s closing run last season was uneven, featuring four defeats in six matches, although they also beat Tottenham 2-1 at home. Hull return to this level after finishing their second-tier campaign with one win in six, but they scored in five of those games. The historical head-to-head record favours Chelsea, who won all five listed meetings between 2014 and 2017. The total-goals lean is over 2.5 at 66%, against 34% for under 2.5.

Written by a language model from the numbers on this page and historical results only.

Probabilities come from a market-anchored statistical ensemble. See the methodology for how they are produced and verified.